FNUS72 KMLB 191033
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LL17...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
633 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GOOD MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS LIFTED NORTH ACROSS
PORTIONS OF LAKE COUNTY OVERNIGHT BUT MOST OF THE RAIN PASSED TO
THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE WITH MINIMAL WETTING OCCURRING AT LAKE
LOUISA. INCREASING SOUTH WINDS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT AND PRODUCE GOOD DISPERSION. THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON SHOULD BE RAIN-FREE WITH A CHANCE OF STORMS DURING THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. GUSTY
DOWNBURST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AND CAN COME FROM ANY DIRECTION
WHEN ASSOCIATED WITH A THUNDERSTORM...EVEN FROM A DISTANCE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                            TSM TSM TSM TSM RW
TEMP............75  78  81  83  85  86  86  86  86  84  82  80
RH..............82  74  67  61  53  50  50  48  48  53  56  60
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  15  16  16  15  14  15  16  16  15  13  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  25  25  20  20  20  25  25  20  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............5.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SPAULDING PARK MANAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130419.LL17_.01/MLB