FNUS73 KAPX 211334 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE RIVER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 934 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NO MAJOR ISSUES TODAY...WILL SEE INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT...WILL BE HELPED OUT BY SOUTHEAST WIND OFF LAKE HURON WHICH WILL ADD A BIT OF MOISTURE AND KEEP TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 42. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION... BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH BY 1 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........14 20 31 37 47 66 76 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............38 40 41 40 39 40 41 RH..............46 41 37 39 42 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 9 11 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......500 600 600 700 700 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(100). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........77 80 81 73 56 48 46 41 39 41 44 47 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 39 37 35 34 33 32 31 30 30 29 29 RH..............44 46 50 56 58 63 69 72 78 78 81 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 SMOKE DISP......700 500 300 200 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1700). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............29 33 42 49 53 53 RH..............88 78 59 49 45 48 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 7 S 8 S 7 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 15 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 5 5 SMOKE DISP......100 100 300 900 1500 1600 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130421.PINER.01/APX