FNUS74 KLZK 211103 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTWRIGHT NORTH...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 603 AM CDT SUN APR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BENIGN WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS ARKANSAS. AT THE BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. EYE LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WILL PICK UP TO 5-8 MPH BY LATE MORNING. WIND GUSTS COULD OCCASIONALLY REACH INTO THE LOW TEENS...BUT SUSPECT THEY WILL BE FAIRLY INFREQUENT. GIVEN THE ELEVATION...WINDS MAY STAY A BIT ELEVATED LATE INTO THE NIGHT...BUT GENERALLY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 5 MPH. MIN RH THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE...BUT GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4187 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 59 62 64 65 66 66 66 RH..............55 49 44 41 40 39 39 41 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 8 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 12 13 14 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1730 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............65 63 60 57 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 49 RH..............43 46 51 56 60 63 65 69 71 74 76 76 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E E E SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 8 7 7 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E SE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 13 10 9 7 6 6 5 5 5 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4795 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 48 52 55 59 62 65 67 68 69 70 69 RH..............78 79 71 63 57 52 49 46 45 44 44 46 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 7 7 7 8 8 11 11 11 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130421.CARTW.01/LZK