FNUS75 KPUB 220250
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOCKADE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
850 PM MDT SUN APR 21 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.  GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING SHOULD DECREASE AND BECOME MORE TERRAIN
DRIVEN AT LESS THAN 10 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.  ON MONDAY...STRONG WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FIRE AREA BETWEEN 0800 AND
1000 LOCAL TIME AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  AS THE GUSTY...DRY
...DOWNSLOPE WINDS DEVELOP...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP THROUGH
THE DAY REACHING A MINIMUM NEAR 15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.

LOOKING AHEAD A LITTLE...MONDAY EVENING A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE IN FROM THE EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS.  THIS WILL BRING
A SHIFT TO EASTERLY WINDS TO THE FIRE AREA SOMETIME BETWEEN
1800 AND 2100 LOCAL TIME.  AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST...COLDER AIR WILL
MOVE IN AND HUMIDITIES WILL COME UP.  NOT MUCH CHANCE OF SNOW BUT
THERE COULD BE A FEW SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS AROUND THROUGH THE COURSE
OF THE NIGHT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WESTERLY WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    SLOPE/VALLEY CIRCULATIONS 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WINDS BECOMING WEST 15-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH 0800-1000 LOCAL TIME.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0700. 11000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN AROUND 32
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130421.STOCK.01/PUB