FNUS73 KAPX 221258 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BRITTLE BLOCK 6...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 858 AM EDT MON APR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH TUESDAY AS A SERIES OF WAVES DEVELOP ALONG A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT WILL GRADUALLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH MICHIGAN DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 57. RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........37 37 37 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 56 57 57 RH..............35 34 31 31 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......700 800 800 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........36 36 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 34 37 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 55 52 49 46 43 42 42 42 42 41 40 RH..............34 38 44 52 58 65 67 70 70 76 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 3 SMOKE DISP......700 600 500 300 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 37 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1400). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........54 71 79 89 97 98 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............40 44 50 54 57 57 RH..............85 76 63 59 55 55 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......0 100 100 400 1100 1400 $$ FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.BRITT.01/APX