FNUS73 KAPX 221256 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUNTAIN KW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 856 AM EDT MON APR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE TO MORE SEASONAL LEVELS TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH TUESDAY AS A SERIES OF WAVES DEVELOP ALONG A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT WILL GRADUALLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH MICHIGAN DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........35 34 34 33 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............53 54 55 56 RH..............41 40 38 37 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......700 700 800 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........33 32 32 32 32 31 31 30 30 33 36 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 54 52 49 46 44 43 42 41 41 41 41 RH..............40 41 46 52 60 65 67 70 73 79 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 3 SMOKE DISP......500 200 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 31 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1200). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........52 67 76 88 97 98 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............42 45 51 55 58 58 RH..............76 70 61 57 53 53 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 9 S 11 S 12 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 25 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......0 100 100 300 900 1200 $$ FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.FOUNT.01/APX