FNUS73 KDMX 221206 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR MT AYR...IOWA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 706 AM CDT MON APR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING. A DRY PERIOD IS THEN EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS PREVAILING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE ENDING. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING WITH A SWITCH TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO FOLLOW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-16300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57400-158500 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........75 73 75 77 78 78 79 79 84 94 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO TEMP............54 58 61 63 64 64 64 63 61 58 RH..............61 53 49 50 50 50 50 52 56 59 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 14 14 15 14 13 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 9 6 EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.8 3.4 4.9 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 4.3 2.3 MIXNG WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S MIXNG WIND SPD..14 17 20 22 24 26 28 29 30 29 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........99 99 100 100 98 97 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RNSN TSTM COV........ TEMP............53 50 47 42 38 35 RH..............71 74 76 82 85 92 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 NE 4 N 4 N 9 N 11 N 11 EYE LVL WND GST. 15 20 25 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........94 92 85 80 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSN RAIN RAIN NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............33 34 38 44 RH..............96 85 73 55 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 11G25 N 12G25 N 13G25 NW 11G25 $$ FORECASTER...DONAVON REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE TECH 2 TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.MTAYR.02/DMX