FNUS74 KLZK 221124 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR FIFITY SIX...U.S. FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 624 AM CDT MON APR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS AT THE BURN SITE AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING. SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SUCH GUSTS WILL PROBABLY BE INFREQUENT. DID NOT INCLUDE THESE GUSTS IN THE HOURLY FORECAST BELOW FOR THAT REASON. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP SLIGHTLY UNDER 40 PERCENT...BUT EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY TOMORROW AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT THERE WILL BE A WETTING RAIN TOMORROW. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5200 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4346 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....1. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 61 64 67 69 71 72 72 RH..............56 50 46 42 40 39 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 6 6 6 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 6 6 6 5 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2700 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1796 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............71 67 66 64 63 61 60 59 58 57 56 55 RH..............41 48 51 54 58 61 65 69 72 76 79 82 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69. RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3500 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2614 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............55 54 56 58 60 62 63 66 66 68 69 66 RH..............85 89 84 80 76 72 70 64 64 61 58 61 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 15 16 18 20 20 20 18 17 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.FIFIT.01/LZK