FNUS71 KPBZ 221046
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRYE CEMETERY SMITH GATE...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
646 AM EDT MON APR 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY MONDAY AND TUESDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE...THEN A COLD FRONT
BRINGS RAIN ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 AGL...INCREASING TO 4200 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 21 TO 28 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).............65  55  53  48  44  39  39  38  38  38  38  37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  47  49  51  53  54  54  54  53  51  49  46
RH..................46  41  39  36  34  34  33  33  35  38  43  44
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.0 2.8 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.8 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....25  24  23  22  21  21  21  22  23  23  24  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO 9 TO 13
                    MPH LATE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIES
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130422.FRYEC.02/PBZ