FNUS71 KRNK 220231 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR MAHOGNAY ROCK...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1031 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEDGE DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT WITH AN AREA OF STRATOCUMULUS MOVING ACROSS. THIS CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE GONE BY 8 OR 9 MONDAY MORNING...LEAVING JUST SOME PASSING CIRRUS. THE FLOW AT THE SURFACE AND AT TRANSPORT LEVELS WILL BE MAINTAINED OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD RECOVER WELL TONIGHT...AND DROP TO AROUND 35 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS NO OFFICIAL AIR QUALITY FORECAST FOR THE MOUNTAINS...BUT GIVEN THE AIRMASS THE AIR QUALITY SHOULD BE GOOD. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............84 44 45 48 50 45 37 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................43 42 41 40 39 38 37 37 RH..................62 62 64 67 70 72 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......4 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............34 38 41 41 43 44 45 45 45 44 43 41 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................37 37 38 40 42 44 45 46 48 49 49 50 RH..................73 70 66 62 58 52 48 45 41 37 35 37 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............39 36 34 40 47 52 57 61 63 64 63 61 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................49 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 40 39 39 RH..................49 51 54 57 61 64 66 68 69 71 73 76 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............58 55 52 49 46 43 40 38 37 37 37 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 37 40 43 45 48 50 51 53 54 55 57 RH..................79 83 76 71 69 64 63 61 58 56 55 52 20 FT WIND DIR......N NW NW NW N NE E E SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 10 10 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...PERRY REQUESTED BY...SHANE STURGILL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.MAHOG.01/RNK