FNUS71 KRNK 221155 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR MAHOGANY ROCK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 755 AM EDT MON APR 22 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 EDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO WEDGE SOUTH INTO THE AREA TODAY PRODUCING A PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW THROUGH THE TRANSPORT LEVEL INTO TONIGHT. ANY LOW LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD QUICKLY MIX OUT THIS MORNING RESULTING IN MAINLY SUNNY SKIES BY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR DECENT MIXING UP TO 3000 FEET WITH DRIER AIR ALOFT BEING TRANSPORTED DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOWERING HUMIDITY LEVELS TO AROUND 35 OR 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS BRIEFLY LOWER BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM. A CANOPY OF LOWER CLOUDS MAY ARRIVE AFTER MIDNIGHT WHICH WILL BRING HUMIDITY LEVELS UP WHILE REDUCING MIXING LEVELS TO JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. THE LOW LEVEL WEDGE WILL BE EXITING ON TUESDAY WITH ANY LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW GIVING WAY TO A SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHWEST TRAJECTORY BY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WHICH MAY CAUSE MIXING HEIGHTS TO BE LOWER THAN THOSE SEEN TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............26 26 26 27 29 32 33 35 36 TEMP................37 39 40 41 43 45 48 51 51 RH..................73 69 65 61 57 52 46 41 41 20 FT WIND DIR......NE E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............35 28 27 26 24 23 27 30 34 39 43 47 TEMP................50 49 47 45 44 42 41 40 39 38 37 37 RH..................42 46 51 55 59 63 68 72 76 78 80 81 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E E NE N N 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 4 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............47 48 48 48 49 49 49 50 50 50 50 50 TEMP................37 37 40 43 46 49 50 52 53 55 56 57 RH..................81 81 78 71 67 61 58 55 52 50 48 46 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NE E E SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...STURGILL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130422.MAHOG.02/RNK