FNUS72 KILM 231616
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONE 4 23 2103...NC STATE PARKS-JONE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1216 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE OF CAPE HATTERAS WILL CONTINUE
TO PULL AWAY TO THE NORTH TODAY...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE EDGES IN
FROM THE WEST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...CROSSING THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND
OR A THUNDERSTORM. A STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING RAIN TO THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT....MODERATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH
                    MIXING HEIGHT INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34055-47379 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............79     66     47
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62     67     67
RH..................74     59     53
20 FT WIND..........N 6    N 5    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........3200   3400   3400
TRANSPORT WIND......N 15   N 12   N 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...47     39     23

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-11959 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............41     29     23     18     13     19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67     65     61     56     50     49
RH..................52     57     65     79     98     100
20 FT WIND..........N 3    E 2    SE 1   S 2    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5                           5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2600   300    100    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 5   S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0    S 0
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...12     0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...LANE GARNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130423.JONE4.01/ILM