FNUS74 KLZK 231219 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR M O RED WHITE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 719 AM CDT TUE APR 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE BURN SITE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. SPECIFICALLY...WOULD EXPECT SHOWERS AROUND THE BURN SITE AFTER 5PM THIS AFTERNOON. BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL EXIST TONIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER WAVE MOVES OVER THE FRONT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...BUT SHOULD SWITCH AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2800 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1784 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............67 66 66 65 65 64 62 59 RH..............64 64 64 64 62 62 63 67 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 14 14 14 EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW W W NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 22 21 20 17 15 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 50 50 50 50 50 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 737 FT AGL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............56 52 51 50 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 RH..............67 73 74 75 77 78 79 80 81 81 82 83 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 11 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 70 70 70 60 60 60 50 50 50 30 30 .WEDNESDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130423.REDWH.01/LZK