FNUS73 KPAH 231433 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 19...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 933 AM CDT TUE APR 23 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1045 CDT ON APRIL 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI WILL PASS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE QUAD STATE REGION LATER TODAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE RAIN WILL FALL TONIGHT. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST FROM THE PLAINS. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL DURING THE MID WEEK PERIOD. WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE WEEK...AND THURSDAY THE DRIEST. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE BY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 75. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900-3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 66 69 72 73 73 74 73 72 RH..............63 61 57 54 54 53 52 53 56 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 25 25 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 25 25 25 26 28 29 29 29 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 63 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............69 62 57 54 50 49 RH..............60 76 92 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 W 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 1300 300 700 1000 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 S 21 S 18 SW 18 W 15 NW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................77 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............49 52 53 54 RH..............94 69 65 59 20 FT WIND......NW 6G10 NW 7G15 NW 5G10 NW 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1900 3300 5200 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 20 NW 16 NW 16 NW 14 CWR.............80 80 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...JOHN PAUL HART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130423.TA19_.01/PAH