FNUS71 KCTP 240832
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRY S VALLEY...FD#5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
432 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A
SHARP COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH COULD
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE SHOWERS COULD END
AS A FEW FLURRIES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AS ANOTHER
UNSEASONABLY COOL AIRMASS PUSHES INTO THE STATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 16-25 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 33 TO 36
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............67     68     73     85
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............              CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................60     64     67     67
RH..................61     54     52     53
20 FT WIND..........S 9    S 13   S 15   SW 15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............85     82     74     63     54     51
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............CHANCE
TEMP................63     56     49     44     40     39
RH..................58     71     75     75     70     74
20 FT WIND..........SW 15  W 14   W 14   W 13   W 12   W 9

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............48     42     42     42     42     50
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39     42     47     51     54     57
RH..................75     66     53     44     38     35
20 FT WIND..........W 8    W 7    W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10

$$
FORECASTER...DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...DAN LECRONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130424.HARRY.01/CTP