FNUS76 KMFR 240403
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYES BUTTE...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
903 PM PDT TUE APR 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIR MASS CONTINUES AT THE BURN SITE...AND
FORECAST HUMIDITIES ARE SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THAN PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS
GIVEN THAT ALL AREA RAWS STATIONS HAD AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS OR
LESS ON TUESDAY. HAVE TAKEN NORTHEAST ASPECT OF BURN SITE INTO ACCOUNT
BUT STILL EXPECT VERY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY
AND FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION WITH DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED
TONIGHT. WARMING IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WITH LIGHTER SPEEDS COMPARED TO TODAY.

TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 19 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...IAN HARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130424.HAYES.01/MFR