FNUS75 KPUB 241532
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR O HAVER LAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
932 AM MDT WED APR 24 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM COULD
ALSO HELP DEVELOP A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN COLORADO
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
TONIGHT WILL SPREAD MORE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE STATE TOMORROW...WITH A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING
SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BURN SITE
IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
BEING RATHER DRY...COULD SEE MAINLY VIRGA WITH THE CHANCES OF
WETTING PRECIPITATION ONLY BETWEEN 15 AND 25 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 4-9 MPH UNTIL
                    1100...THEN WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY(54 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(66 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH UNTIL
                    1000...THEN WEST SOUTHWEST 9-14 MPH. GUSTS TO
                    28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JOHN INGRAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130424.OHAVE.01/PUB