FNUS73 KPAH 251522 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SUKCHON...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1022 AM CDT THU APR 25 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FOR THIS SPOT FORECAST...WINDS WILL BE AT THERE GREATEST...5 TO 6 MPH... AROUND THE NOON TIME MIXING TODAY...OTHERWISE LIGHT TO NEAR CALM WINDS WILL DOMINATE MOST OF THE DAY TODAY. MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE THE LOWEST TODAY...BUT WILL BE INCREASING THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE EXCELLENT TODAY FOR VERTICAL MOVEMENT OF SMOKE...WITH MIXING HEIGHTS NOT EXPECTED TO DIP BELOW MINIMUMS UNTIL THE NIGHT TIME INVERSION SETS UP THIS EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SLOWLY SPREAD THE SMOKE PLUME SOUTHEAST WITH TIME. MINIMUM FUEL MOISTURES WILL LIKELY HOLD BETWEEN 10 AND 13 PERCENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO RIVER VALLEYS TODAY INTO FRIDAY. AS THE HIGH DRIFTS EAST...A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THAT WILL LINGER FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...ENDING SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S AND LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 40S INTO THE WEEKEND...THEN GRADUALLY WARM TO THE 70S AND 50S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 7000-7700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 59 61 62 62 62 61 RH..............41 38 36 35 36 38 40 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 6.5 7.0 7.4 7.7 7.7 7.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 14 14 14 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-7100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 0 TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 52 48 45 43 42 RH..............45 57 67 76 79 82 20 FT WIND......NW 2 N 2 N 2 NE 1 E 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....7100 5300 2900 1000 300 400 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 NW 9 NW 7 NW 5 W 2 SW 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4100 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500-2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............42 54 62 65 RH..............86 57 44 41 20 FT WIND......E 2G5 E 4G10 SE 3G5 E 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....900 2700 4100 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 SE 2 E 6 SE 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...JOHN PAUL HART TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130425.SUKCH.01/PAH