FNUS71 KRNK 241838 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG WILSON...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 238 PM EDT WED APR 24 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GUSTS AT 20 TO 30 MPH...THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CLEVELAND OHIO SOUTHWARD TO NASHVILLE TN THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE EAST INTO TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION BETWEEN 6PM AND MIDNIGHT. AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS BEEN DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON AS IT PROGRESS EASTWARD. A SHARP WIND SHIFT WILL TAKE PLACE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY JUST BEHIND THE FRONT...THEN DIMINSH OVERNIGHT. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............62 90 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC TEMP................61 63 RH..................59 55 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 CWR.................10 50 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......250 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............100 100 75 68 57 48 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE S CHC TEMP................61 54 50 45 42 40 RH..................58 69 72 73 71 72 20 FT WIND..........W 13 W 14 W 13 NW 11 NW 10 NW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 35 30 25 25 20 CWR.................70 70 40 20 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............34 27 23 13 10 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................37 37 42 46 49 51 RH..................79 78 57 44 34 30 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 5 W 5 W 3 W 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 10 15 CWR.................10 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...KOSTURA REQUESTED BY...STEVE SMESTAD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130425.BIGWI.01/RNK