FNUS73 KAPX 261419
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TWAYBLADE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LATE MORNING SUNSHINE WILL GIVE WAY TO THICKENING
CLOUD COVER DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.  SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY...
A FEW SPRINKLES AROUND BUT EXPECT LITTLE MORE THAN NUISANCE.  GUSTY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL FROM THE SOUTH...WITH GUSTS
20 TO 25 MPH EXPECTED AFTER 1 PM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH 11 TO 14 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
                    TO AROUND 25 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5500-7000
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1500).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........93  79  72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  55  56
RH..............41  43  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25
HAINES INDEX....5   5   4
SMOKE DISP......150015001400

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68  61  58  59  62  65  68  71  72  73  73  73
WEATHER COV.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............55  54  52  50  48  46  44  44  43  43  43  43
RH..............43  45  48  52  58  65  73  73  79  82  82  86
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..11  10  8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130426.TWAYB.01/APX