FNUS73 KAPX 271237 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUNTAIN KW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 837 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOSTLY QUIET DAY EXPECTED. WINDS FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST MAY BE A LITTLE GUSTY DURING MID TO LATE MORNING WITH INITIAL MIXING... BUT EXPECTED TO SETTLE DOWN TO 10 MPH OR LESS SUSTAINED WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. IF WE DON'T SEE MUCH OF A TURN IN THE WINDS OFF LAKE HURON THIS AFTERNOON...THEN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIKELY DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5500-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1600). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........27 19 20 21 20 19 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 62 62 61 63 64 63 RH..............53 46 46 46 40 37 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......800 100012001400150016001500 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........21 25 27 25 22 19 16 13 12 12 12 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 60 57 55 52 50 48 46 45 43 42 42 RH..............40 47 55 59 63 66 68 73 73 76 79 79 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 SMOKE DISP......13001000700 300 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 21 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........12 13 25 41 53 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 46 52 56 58 59 RH..............82 76 69 62 59 55 20 FT WIND......S 0 S 2 SE 4 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......0 0 100 400 1100 1000 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...PERSEPHONE WHELAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130427.FOUNT.01/APX