FNUS74 KMOB 272040 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 442 446...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 340 PM CDT SAT APR 27 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1550 CDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING WELL TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD AFFECT THE SITE EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE EAST. A SMALL RAIN CHANCE CONTINUES THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GREATLY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...BEGINNING IN THE MORNING. FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE...BUT CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE EXTENT OF FOG NEAR THE BURN SITE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 10 TO 15MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 16 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....56. LVORI...............1 TO 2. TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%)...........47 60 WEATHER COV.......CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............83 82 RH................51 52 20 FT WIND DIR....W S 20 FT WIND SPD....6 9 20 FT WIND GUST...15 18 MIX HGT (FT)......4700 3400 MIX HGT (M).......1430 1040 TRANSP WIND DIR...S S TRANSP WIND SPD...15 16 TRANS SPD (M/S)...7 7 DISPERSION........56 42 LVORI.............1 2 CWR...............30 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....42 DECREASING TO 7. LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 6. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)...........60 46 46 46 65 65 WEATHER COV.......S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............79 74 69 68 67 65 RH................56 68 80 85 89 92 20 FT WIND DIR....S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD....9 9 6 6 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST...18 MIX HGT (FT)......3400 200 200 200 200 200 MIX HGT (M).......1040 60 60 60 60 60 TRANSP WIND DIR...S S S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD...16 8 9 9 10 9 TRANS SPD (M/S)...7 4 4 4 4 4 DISPERSION........42 7 8 8 7 6 LVORI.............2 3 4 4 5 6 CWR...............20 20 20 20 20 20 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............6 DECREASING DECREASING TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........65 80 80 80 81 81 WEATHER COV.......S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP..............64 66 72 74 76 76 RH................97 94 81 71 65 63 20 FT WIND DIR....S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....4 6 7 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST... 15 MIX HGT (FT)......200 200 2200 2200 4100 2200 MIX HGT (M).......60 60 670 670 1250 670 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD...9 9 14 14 17 12 TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 4 6 6 8 5 DISPERSION........6 10 28 28 49 23 LVORI.............6 5 3 3 1 3 CWR...............20 70 70 70 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...34 REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130427.CHICK.02/MOB