FNUS73 KAPX 281348
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOLLI 1  7...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
948 AM EDT SUN APR 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CLOUDS EXPECTED TO BE PREVALENT TODAY BUT EXPECTED
TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO RISE
THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL RESULT IN INITIALLY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS UNTIL
LATER THIS AFTERNOON (PROVIDED TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 60S AS
EXPECTED).  WINDS FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER
THAN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE INCREASING
                    TO 6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (2000).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  61  63  62  61  60  60
RH..............44  40  40  44  48  51  53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   4   4
SMOKE DISP......500 120018002000180015001400

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP............60  59  58  56  55  53  52  52  52  51  51  51
RH..............53  57  62  72  77  83  86  86  86  86  83  83
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...MICHELLE CARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130428.LOLLI.01/APX