FNUS75 KGJT 281100
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR NUCLA-CAHONE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
500 AM MDT SUN APR 28 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT.
SLOPE AND VALLEY BREEZES SHOULD DOMINATE. THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN
COLLAPSING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES
NORTHWEST COLORADO FROM THE NORTH. THIS FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH
ACROSS THE FIRE SITE LATE MONDAY MORNING. LITTLE OR NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE, BUT WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND OVERPOWER SLOPE AND VALLEY BREEZES.

NOTE: A MUCH STRONGER FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY
WITH WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0900 THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-27000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0930 THEN FAIR.
                    INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900 THEN FAIR. DECREASING TO POOR
                    (3500-5100 KNOT-FT) BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1300 THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH CUMULUS BUILDUPS OVER HIGHER
                    TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL0930 THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH. AFTERE 1300 BECOMING
                    WEST AT 8 TO 14 MPH...GUSTING TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    1600. CONTINUED BREEZY INTO THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0930 THEN FAIR.
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1400.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14800 FT AGL BY LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...DAN HUISJEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130428.NUCLA.01/GJT