FNUS75 KPUB 282316
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR O HAVER LAKE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
516 PM MDT SUN APR 28 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INCREASING WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GUSTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON LIKELY TO HIT
45 MPH.  HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOW AND IT IS LIKELY THAT NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BE HIT FOR AN HOUR OR TWO ON MONDAY...AND
FOR MOST OF THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM DROPS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION.  FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE LIKELY TO BE
ISSUED FOR THE AREA FOR TUESDAY AS THE TIME PERIOD APPROACHES.

THIS SYSTEM WILL EVENTUALLY SPREAD A CHANCE FOR SNOW TO THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH COOLER CONDITIONS.

NOTE:  COULD NOT LOCATE PSF2 SALIDA RAWS ON THE ROMAN WEB SITE...SO
       RELIED HEAVILY ON THE SAN LUIS VALLEY RAWS AND MESONETS NEAR
       SALIDA AND JUST WEST OF PONCHA SPRINGS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN NORTHWEST 4-8
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 15-25
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0800. 9000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-55%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 15-30 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN NORTHWEST
                    10-20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900.  POOR AFTER 2200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR A LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-60%).  ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FEET AGL UNTIL 0800.  9000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...JOHN INGRAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130428.OHAVE.02/PUB