FNUS73 KAPX 291423
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK MONEY...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1023 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH MIDDAY WITH CLOUDS INCREASING
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON...AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM.  WINDS
NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE THIS AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM.
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 96  89  85
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............66  67  69  69
RH..............55  51  46  47
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  10
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......700 800 800 800

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 29 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........91     91     81     69     59     58
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     56     62     68     73     73
RH..............83     80     67     52     40     38
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 4    S 6    S 6    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130429.ELKMO.01/APX