FNUS73 KAPX 291347 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOLLI 1 7...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 947 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AND A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 69. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 79 92 88 80 76 WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TEMP............62 64 65 66 68 67 RH..............62 60 56 50 47 50 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......200 300 500 600 800 800 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM TEMP............66 65 62 60 58 57 56 56 56 55 54 53 RH..............52 54 62 67 72 75 77 77 77 80 83 86 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1200). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........90 91 81 68 58 56 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............53 54 61 67 71 71 RH..............86 86 75 59 46 46 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 15 SMOKE DISP......0 100 700 1200 1000 900 $$ FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS REQUESTED BY...MICHELLE CARSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130429.LOLLI.01/APX