FNUS73 KDTX 291307
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL S EYE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
907 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 29.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL SUNSHINE AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES DURING THE AFTERNOON. A SHOWER IS POSSIBLE IN THE
SAGINAW VALLEY LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE IN FAVOR OF WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE
NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS
STATES BUT REMAIN WEST OF LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
                    EARLY. PATCHY DRIZZLE EARLY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...500).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........50  49  49  49  49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  72  72  71  70
RH..............53  52  52  53  54
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.2
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3
VRATE (KT-FT)...300 300 400 400 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (60-70 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........48     56     64     72     66     61
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............68     60     55     54     53     52
RH..............58     73     86     86     90     94
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..6      6      6      6      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10                   10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS BY MID AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...700).

$$
FORECASTER...KURIMSKI
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130429.BULLS.01/DTX