FNUS73 KDTX 291306
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMLINSON...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
906 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 29.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND DRIZZLE EARLY TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTIAL SUNSHINE AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES DURING THE AFTERNOON. A SHOWER IS POSSIBLE IN THE
SAGINAW VALLEY LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE IN FAVOR OF WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE
NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS
STATES BUT REMAIN WEST OF LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY. PATCHY DRIZZLE EARLY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 5
                    TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 5
                    TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 10
                    MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL
                    LATE...DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...400).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........62  63  63  63  64
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............68  69  70  70  68
RH..............62  60  59  58  60
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 5.6 5.3 4.0 2.2
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...300 400 400 400 300

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........64     68     71     75     73     72
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............66     59     55     54     53     51
RH..............63     80     91     89     91     97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..7      8      8      8      8      9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     15

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...700).

$$
FORECASTER...KURIMSKI
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130429.TOMLI.01/DTX