FNUS76 KLOX 291110
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE 1...LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
410 AM PDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEVELOPING ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING A COOLING AND
MOISTENING TREND TO THE BURN AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A MARINE
LAYER EXTENDING INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA SHOULD
MIX OUT AT...OR AN HOUR BEFORE IGNITION TIME. THE MARINE LAYER
SHOULD DEEPEN SLIGHTLY INTO TUESDAY MORNING ALLOWING FOR EXCELLENT
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT. THE FLOW WILL TRANSITION FROM
ONSHORE TO OFFSHORE RAPIDLY BY TUESDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DEVELOPING OVER THE BURN AREA ON WEDNESDAY
AS WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING...
x09x09    THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-90 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM WINDS UNTIL 0900 HOURS...BECOMING
x09x09    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6
x09x09    MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS. THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
x09x09    5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL
x09x09    0900 HOURS...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10
x09x09    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS.
x09x09    THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH WITH
x09x09    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL
x09x09    1400 HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
x09x09    WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 HOURS...THEN
x09x09    LIFTING TO 4000 TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 2000
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH UNTIL 0300
x09x09    HOURS. THEN...BECOMING CALM.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0300
x09x09    HOURS. THEN...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 3 MPH
x09x09    OR LESS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1900 HOURS...
x09x09    BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 TO 3000 FT AGL EARLY FALLING TO 500 FT AGL
x09x09    OR LESS BY 0100 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY BECOMING
x09x09    SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG OVER THE
x09x09    LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-85 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM WINDS UNTIL 0800 HOURS...BECOMING SOUTH TO
x09x09    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH UNTIL
x09x09    1300 HOURS. THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8
x09x09    MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL
x09x09    0800 HOURS...BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO
x09x09    10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS.
x09x09    THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
x09x09    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL
x09x09    1400 HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH
x09x09    WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 HOURS...THEN
x09x09    LIFTING TO 3000 TO 5000 FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130429.LAKE1.02/LOX

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