FNUS72 KMLB 291031
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JDSP TRAPPER  S...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
631 AM EDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE
OVER THE PROPOSED BURN SITE BY 900 AM...HOWEVER CURRENT RADAR
SHOWS LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ALREADY MOVING OVER THAT AREA.

UNFORTUNATELY...WE ARE EXPECTING THE FIRST HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
STORMS OF THE DAY TO FORM BEFORE NOON ALONG THE TREASURE COAST
SO THE PROSPECTS FOR DRY WEATHER AROUND IGNITION TIME ARE LOOKING
INCREASINGLY SLIM. OTHERWISE...EXPECT INCREASING COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. IF THE
BURN ZONE CAN SOMEHOW MANAGE TO AVOID EARLY SHOWERS AND STORMS
THEN THERE MIGHT BE A PERIOD OF A FEW HOURS WHERE THE RAINFALL
MOVES INLAND FROM (WEST OF) THE BURN ZONE. AGAIN...WITH A FEW
SHOWERS ALREADY POPPING OVER THE AREA...THAT SCENARIO LOOKS LESS
LIKELY TO OCCUR.

ANY STORMS TODAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MIDDLE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3700-4000 FT AGL BY THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW
TEMP............76  78  80  81  81  82  81  80  79  78  76  75
RH..............69  64  60  60  60  58  60  62  64  67  71  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  13  15  16  16  17  17  17  16  16  13  9
20 FT WIND GUST.14  19  22  23  24  25  25  25  24  22  18  13

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............5.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...ROB ROSSMANITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130429.JDSPT.01/MLB