FNUS75 KBOU 302053 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR THREE STRIKES INCIDENT...NORTHWEST INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 253 PM MDT TUE APR 30 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1505 MDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG WINTER-LIKE STORM SYSTEM WILL DROP INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT BRINGING AN INCREASING THREAT OF PRECIPITATION AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MIN HUMIDITY........41%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25-30 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................25 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN UNTIL 0200. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. CWR.................70 PERCENT. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR THREE STRIKES INCIDENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 10KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/30-14 83 48 24 48 41 W 18 29 3 2 WSW 66 4870 WSW 30127738 V 04/30-15 84 48 24 47 42 W 18 30 3 2 WSW 66 4326 WSW 26 97639 G 04/30-16 84 48 24 46 43 W 18 29 3 2 WSW 66 4087 WSW 25 91709 G 04/30-17 84 48 24 44 46 W 17 26 3 2 WSW 66 3848 WSW 25 85780 G 04/30-18 93 77 63 42 51 W 15 24 3 1 WSW 66 3609 WSW 25 79851 G 04/30-19 93 77 63 39 59 W 13 20 3 1 WSW 67 3231 WSW 21 61695 G 04/30-20 93 77 63 37 67 W 9 15 3 1 WSW 69 2854 W 16 43540 F 04/30-21 93 77 63 34 78 W 7 7 3 1 WSW 70 2476 W 12 25385 P 04/30-22 93 77 63 32 86 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 71 2126 W 9 19287 P 04/30-23 93 77 63 30 93 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 71 1775 W 8 13189 P 05/01-00 94 77 63 29 96 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 70 1425 W 6 7091 P 05/01-01 94 77 63 28 98 W 6 6 3 1 WSW 69 1603 W 6 8228 P 05/01-02 94 81 70 27 99 W 6 6 2 1 WSW 68 1782 W 6 9364 P 05/01-03 94 81 70 26100 W 6 6 2 1 WSW 66 1960 WNW 6 10501 P 05/01-04 94 81 70 25100 W 5 5 2 1 WSW 63 2185 W 8 16533 P 05/01-05 94 81 70 24100 W 5 5 2 1 WSW 60 2411 W 10 22564 P 05/01-06 93 80 68 23100 W 3 3 2 1 WSW 59 2636 W 13 28596 P 05/01-07 93 80 68 25100 W 3 3 2 1 WSW 64 2874 W 14 34733 P 05/01-08 93 80 68 28 88 WSW 5 5 2 1 WSW 70 3112 WSW 15 40870 F 05/01-09 93 80 68 31 75 SW 5 5 2 1 WSW 71 3350 WSW 16 47007 F 05/01-10 93 80 68 31 68 SW 3 3 2 1 WSW 62 4488 WSW 14 50985 F 05/01-11 93 80 68 31 61 SSW 3 3 3 1 SW 49 5627 WSW 12 54963 F 05/01-12 91 79 66 31 56 S 2 2 3 1 SW 39 6766 WSW 10 58941 F 05/01-13 91 79 66 32 52 SSW 2 2 3 1 SW 36 6783 WSW 10 60616 G 05/01-14 91 79 66 33 51 SSW 2 2 3 1 SW 36 6800 WSW 10 62291 G 05/01-15 91 79 66 33 51 SW 3 3 3 1 SW 37 6818 WSW 10 63966 G 05/01-16 91 79 66 32 54 S 5 5 3 1 SW 36 7488 WSW 10 63552 G 05/01-17 91 79 66 31 56 E 6 6 2 1 WSW 36 8158 WSW 9 63138 G 05/01-18 82 52 28 33 51 NE 6 6 2 1 WSW 36 8828 WSW 8 62725 G 05/01-19 82 52 28 30 56 NE 6 6 2 1 WSW 35 7702 W 7 48226 F 05/01-20 82 52 28 26 63 NE 6 6 3 1 WSW 35 6575 WNW 6 33727 P 05/01-21 82 52 28 24 65 NE 5 5 3 1 WSW 33 5449 NW 5 19228 P 05/01-22 82 52 28 22 70 NE 3 3 3 1 W 31 4841 NW 3 15170 P 05/01-23 82 52 28 21 72 ENE 3 3 2 1 W 29 4233 NNW 2 11112 P 05/02-00 58 19 4 18 80 ENE 2 2 2 1 W 26 3624 N 2 7055 P 05/02-01 58 19 4 17 82 NE 2 2 2 1 W 24 3451 N 2 7200 P 05/02-02 58 19 4 16 83 N 2 2 2 1 WNW 22 3277 N 2 7345 P 05/02-03 58 19 4 15 84 NW 2 2 2 1 NW 23 3103 N 2 7490 P 05/02-04 58 19 4 14 83 CALM 1 2 1 NW 26 2604 NNW 3 6834 P 05/02-05 58 19 4 14 79 CALM 1 2 1 NNW 33 2106 NNW 3 6179 P 05/02-06 24 5 1 13 80 CALM 1 2 1 NNW 40 1607 NW 3 5523 P 05/02-07 24 5 1 16 71 N 2 2 2 1 NNW 49 3310 NNW 9 42872 F 05/02-08 24 5 1 23 54 NNW 5 5 2 1 N 59 5013 NNW 15 80221 G 05/02-09 28 0 0 30 43 NNW 7 7 2 1 N 66 6716 N 21117569 V 05/02-10 28 0 0 34 38 NNW 8 8 2 1 N 68 6712 N 21118870 V 05/02-11 28 0 0 36 37 NNW 8 13 2 1 N 67 6709 N 21120170 V 05/02-12 28 0 0 38 35 NNW 8 13 2 1 N 64 6705 N 21121471 V 05/02-13 28 0 0 38 36 NNW 9 15 2 1 N 61 6450 N 22122657 V 05/02-14 28 0 0 37 38 NNW 10 17 2 1 N 56 6194 N 23123843 V 05/02-15 28 0 0 37 38 NNW 12 18 2 1 N 53 5938 N 24125030 V 05/02-16 28 0 0 38 37 NW 12 18 2 1 N 49 5729 N 23115326 V 05/02-17 28 0 0 37 38 NW 12 18 2 1 N 48 5521 NNW 22105621 V 05/02-18 19 1 0 37 37 NW 10 16 2 1 N 46 5312 NNW 21 95917 G 05/02-19 19 1 0 33 42 NW 8 13 2 1 NNW 45 4162 NNW 17 70045 G 05/02-20 19 1 0 29 49 NW 6 6 3 1 NNW 45 3012 NW 15 44174 F 05/02-21 19 1 0 27 53 NW 3 3 3 1 NNW 44 1861 NW 12 18302 P 05/02-22 19 1 0 25 57 WNW 2 2 3 1 NNW 44 1378 WNW 10 13055 P 05/02-23 19 1 0 24 60 WNW 2 2 2 1 NNW 43 895 WNW 8 7807 P 05/03-00 10 1 0 21 68 W 2 2 2 1 NNW 43 411 WNW 7 2560 P 05/03-01 10 1 0 20 69 W 2 2 2 1 NNW 43 381 WNW 7 2413 P 05/03-02 10 1 0 19 70 W 3 3 3 1 N 41 350 WNW 7 2267 P 05/03-03 10 1 0 18 70 W 5 5 3 1 N 41 320 WNW 8 2120 P 05/03-04 10 1 0 17 71 W 5 5 3 1 N 40 303 WNW 8 1988 P 05/03-05 10 1 0 17 70 W 6 6 3 1 NNW 39 286 WNW 7 1856 P 05/03-06 21 2 0 16 73 W 6 6 3 1 NNW 37 269 WNW 7 1724 P 05/03-07 21 2 0 20 64 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 35 1212 WNW 9 12142 P 05/03-08 21 2 0 27 50 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 32 2154 WNW 10 22561 P 05/03-09 21 2 0 36 37 WNW 6 6 3 1 NNW 30 3097 NW 13 32980 P 05/03-10 21 2 0 40 33 WNW 6 6 3 1 NW 30 3887 NW 14 48043 F 05/03-11 21 2 0 43 31 WNW 6 6 2 1 NW 30 4678 WNW 15 63106 G 05/03-12 44 1 0 44 31 WNW 6 6 2 1 NW 31 5468 WNW 16 78169 G 05/03-13 44 1 0 45 30 NW 6 6 2 1 NW 33 5639 WNW 17 83023 G 05/03-14 44 1 0 44 33 NW 7 7 2 1 NW 35 5810 WNW 17 87877 G 05/03-15 44 1 0 44 33 NW 7 7 2 1 NW 37 5981 WNW 18 92731 G 05/03-16 44 1 0 45 33 NW 8 13 2 1 NW 37 6335 NW 18103326 V 05/03-17 44 1 0 43 36 NW 8 13 2 1 NW 37 6689 NW 20113920 V 05/03-18 51 5 1 44 35 NW 8 13 2 1 NW 37 7043 NW 21124515 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10KFT WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...VERN HOLMES EMC TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130430.THREE.01/BOU