FNUS74 KLZK 302253 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR WORK CENTER FIRE...USFS - AOICC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 553 PM CDT TUE APR 30 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1731 CDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL BE SOUTHEAST TO EASTERLY AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO. AFTER SUNSET THEY SHOULD BECOME LIGHT. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY SHOULD BE PRETTY GOOD AND EXPECT HUMIDITY VALUES TO CLIMB TO CLOSE TO 90 PERCENT BY DAYBREAK. TEMPERATURES AND WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THOSE SEEN TO TODAY. HOWEVER SKY CONDITIONS WILL BE CLOUDIER...AND RH LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NOTABLY HIGHER IN THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. REGARDING MIXING HEIGHTS...MODELS SHOW LOW CLOUDS COMING IN TONIGHT FROM THE SOUTH. THIS COULD PROVE PROBLEMATIC FOR MIXING HEIGHT FORECASTS TOMORROW AS THE BURN SITE WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF WHERE THE LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE. IF THE CLOUDS MAKE IT FURTHER NORTH...MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BE A FEW HUNDRED FEET LOWER THAN FORECAST AS CLOUDS WILL TAKE LONGER TO BURN OFF. CONVERSELY IF THE CLOUDS ARE FURTHER SOUTH...MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST. THE CURRENT FORECAST REFLECTS A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD APPROACH...BUT BE ADVISED THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY THERE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........81 AT REQUEST...MIN 60. RH..................38 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 87 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. LVORI...............1. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............81 78 76 75 72 70 68 66 65 64 63 63 RH..............38 40 46 53 57 61 66 70 74 77 80 83 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 20 18 17 15 14 12 9 8 7 6 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4000 FT MSL. MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2588 FT AGL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 16 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............62 62 65 68 70 73 75 77 78 79 79 80 RH..............86 87 80 74 69 65 62 59 57 56 55 54 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 7 7 7 11 11 9 9 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 4 4 4 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 10 13 15 16 17 17 16 16 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SWENDSEN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20130430.WORKC.01/LZK