FNUS76 KMFR 300123
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER BIG BUTTE 157...MEDFORD BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
623 PM PDT MON APR 29 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT HAS BROUGHT COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE
BURN SITE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TODAY WITH CONTINUED
NORTH WINDS DURING THE DAY...AND DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS AT NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SIGNIFICANTLY WEDNESDAY AND HUMIDITIES
WILL DROP SHARPLY. BOTH MIXING AND SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT FROM NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY FROM TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
CONTINUED WARMING AND DRYING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...AND
EASTERLY DAYTIME WINDS SHOULD PERSIST.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING EAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...NOLAN YOCUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130430.LOWER.01/MFR