FNUS71 KALY 011344
FWSALY

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR APPLE ORCHARD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
944 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD AT ALL LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE
THROUGH THURSDAY...RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

IT WILL BE MAINLY CLEAR AND CALM TONIGHT LEADING TO A PARTIAL
RECOVERY IN MOST PLACES...PROMOTING THE FORMATION OF A LITTLE DEW.

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE A
BIT HIGHER THAN TODAY...IN THE MID 20S TO UPPERS 30S. A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH DURING DAY AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
LOCAL AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING EVENING AND MAY
SPARK A SHOWER OR TWO.

WE ARE HEADED INTO AN EXTENDED DRY PERIOD. THERE IS NO CLEAR INDICATION
WHEN OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT WETTING RAIN WILL TAKE PLACE.
FORTUNATELY...WE DO NOT SEE ANY SIGNIFICANT WIND EVENTS AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

MIXING HEIGHT...7000 TO 7500 FEET

VENTILATION RATE....13000 TO 14000


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.

MIXING HEIGHT...7000 TO 8500 FEET

VENTILATION RATE....33000 TO 35000

$$
FORECASTER...IAA
REQUESTED BY...DAVE DISANTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.APPLE.01/ALY