FNUS73 KAPX 011657
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNRISE SOUTHBRANCH...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1257 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES ARE HEADING UP AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS HEADING DOWN. SO HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REMOVE
THE THUNDER AS THE MOISTURE HAS FALLEN. WITH THE RISING
TEMPERATURES AND THE FALLING MOISTURE...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS
FALLEN SO THAT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE 25-30
PERCENT RANGE FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........82 AT IGNITION...MAX 86.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6100-7100
                    FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (1600).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31  36  48  71  82
WEATHER COV.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............82  83  83  84  85
RH..............35  33  32  30  29
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10
SMOKE DISP......12001300140015001600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  68  63  62  60  58  55  53  52  53  55  57
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............84  77  75  72  68  61  58  57  56  54  52  52
RH..............30  39  43  48  54  70  77  77  77  83  86  86
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SE  E   SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   7   6   7   6   0   0   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10                          5   5

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.SUNRI.01/APX