FNUS73 KDTX 011225
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ISLAND LAKE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
825 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 01.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS
A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE WARM BUT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE UNFAVORABLE DUE
TO ELEVATED RELATIVE HUMIDITY. IT WILL OTHERWISE BE DRY IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION UNTIL POSSIBLY SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE INCHES CLOSER TO
THE GREAT LAKES FROM THE PLAINS STATES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........12  12  12  12  12  11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............76  76  76  76  75  73
RH..............43  43  43  45  47  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.3 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.6
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE (KT-FT)...500 600 600 600 500 400

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........10     8      8      9      10     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     64     59     57     56     54
RH..............56     72     84     85     85     88
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7      7      7      7      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
VRATE (KT-FT)...300    100    0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1500).

$$
FORECASTER...OROW
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.ISLAN.01/DTX