FNUS75 KGJT 010943
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST ELK...USFS GMUG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
343 AM MDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL BE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A
UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY TODAY. DRIER
NORTHERLY FLOW AND LESS WIND IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-57 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12-16 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH AT 1200 INCREASING TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-51 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AT 1200 INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...THEO ENGEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.WESTE.01/GJT