FNUS73 KGRR 011157
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MACADAMIA...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
757 AM EDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT LOCATED ACROSS NORTHEAST WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATER TODAY
AND HOLD THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH THIS
FRONT. THE HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL STAY OUT TO OUR
WEST THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WARM TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN ON THE
WEEKEND.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........79 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6100-6600
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 700-1100
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........14     15     15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     81     81
RH..............42     41     41
20 FT WIND......S 15   S 13   S 12
20 FT GUST......       15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-800
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 800-1100
                    (EXCELLENT) THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) LATE IN
                    THE DAY.

$$
FORECASTER...OSTUNO
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.MACAD.01/GRR