FNUS76 KLOX 010001
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 1...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
501 PM PDT TUE APR 30 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM PDT
THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN
IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA
ON WEDNESDAY. BY IGNITION TIME OF 930 AM...GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE DEVELOPED WITH RAPIDLY LOWERING HUMIDITIES.
THE OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EASE A BIT ON WEDNESDAY EVENING...
THEN REINTENSIFY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE
OFFSHORE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. A LONG PERIOD OF SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES
IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A CONTINUATION OF VERY LOW HUMIDITIES
THROUGH FRIDAY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS...WARM
TEMPERATURES...AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES HAS RESULTED IN THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 AT IGNITION...MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 5 PERCENT.
WIND........
 EYE LEVEL..........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    17 MPH AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 9000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND...........
 EYE LEVEL..........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    12 MPH...INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    INCRESING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING LOWERING TO LESS THAN
                    1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...GOMBERG
REQUESTED BY...RUDY GILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130501.RANCH.01/LOX