FNUS72 KMHX 011715 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK RX FIRE...NC STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 115 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND THIS AFTERNOON NEAR THE FIRE AREA. OTHERWISE PARTLY SUNNY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL DOMINATE TODAY WITH PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY BOTTOM OUT AROUND 70 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT DESPITE THE WINDS REMAINING ABOVE 5 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............94 92 89 85 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 69 69 69 RH..................73 73 70 70 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......11 11 11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....14 16 16 15 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 ADI.................60 60 57 53 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............81 78 76 77 78 79 81 82 83 83 83 82 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................67 66 64 62 61 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 RH..................75 78 81 87 87 87 90 90 93 90 93 90 20 FT WIND DIR......NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 LVORI...............3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 ADI.................46 38 30 23 18 13 13 12 12 13 13 13 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............82 82 82 71 68 66 63 57 53 53 52 52 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................57 57 58 61 63 66 67 68 68 68 68 67 RH..................90 93 90 81 72 65 61 59 57 57 54 56 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................13 13 12 13 17 36 40 44 47 46 45 44 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130501.GOOSE.01/MHX