FNUS72 KMLB 011820
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALAFAYA MOBILE HOME...ORANGE COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
220 PM EDT WED MAY 1 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1355 EDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STEADY EASTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WINDS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...THEN WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS EAST ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS MAY
SHIFT TO SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A LARGE LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING TAMPA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE PUSHES NORTH
INTO THE ORLANDO METROPLEX. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY.......62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....60 PERCENT.
LAL................3.
MIXING HEIGHT......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...35.
LVORI..............1.

TIME (EDT)         2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%)............CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.......RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW  RW  RW
TEMP...............80  81  79  77  75  72  71  70  70  70  69
RH.................60  61  62  62  67  83  83  84  84  84  85
20 FT WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD.....8   8   10  10  10  10  7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10


.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN.....50 PERCENT.
LAL................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT......2100-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH
                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX...2.
LVORI..............7.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                   MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                   THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY.......60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                   THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....70 PERCENT.
LAL................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL
                   1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT......300-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3500 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH
                   LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX...30.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...KEITH KOTCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20130501.ALAFA.01/MLB