FNUS73 KSGF 011228 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT SCOTT ABC...USFWS FOR NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 728 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL CONTINUE TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE TEMP............80 80 RH..............49 52 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 42. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND SHIFT..........10 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............80 73 62 56 52 48 RH..............55 64 74 77 77 78 20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 5 N 6 N 8 N 10 N 11 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 3500 600 600 1000 1200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 13 E 12 N 10 N 14 N 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 50 50 60 60 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 43. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 76 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....80 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............44 42 41 41 41 40 RH..............84 88 87 85 80 76 20 FT WIND......N 11 N 11 N 13 N 12 N 12 N 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1800 2100 2300 2300 2200 TRANSPORT WIND..N 25 N 29 N 30 N 31 N 32 N 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 80 80 80 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN. CHANCE OF SNOW. RAIN LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 34. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....90 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....PERIOD DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............39 38 36 35 37 36 36 35 35 36 42 46 RH..............79 83 87 90 83 82 82 88 93 87 70 63 20 FT WIND......N 12 N 10 N 10 N 9 N 9 N 9 N 8 N 8 NW 9 N 9 N 9 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 20 20 15 20 15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1300 1000 900 900 800 700 500 700 3200 5100 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 37 N 37 N 37 N 36 N 33 N 31 N 28 N 25 N 23 N 20 N 17 NW 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 80 80 80 80 60 60 50 50 50 50 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...FOSTER REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130501.FORTS.01/SGF