FNUS71 KCTP 022302
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR WYKOFF FIRE...BOF FD#13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
702 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1206 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL
STAY ANCHORED FROM THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST...TO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WEATHER
FEATURE WILL BRING SEVERAL MORE DAYS STRING OF DRY AND MILD
WEATHER. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST TO
SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS GUSTS
DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID
TEENS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL OCCUR MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST 2 TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
MIX HGT (FT)........3100   1900   1200   500    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND......SE 15  SE 14  SE 10  SE 6   SE 3   E 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........6      5      5      5      4      4

.FRIDAY...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
MIX HGT (FT)........300    1000   2700   4100   4900   5200
TRANSPORT WIND......E 5    SE 9   SE 15  SE 18  SE 17  SE 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...LACORTE
REQUESTED BY...VIRGINIA SCHAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130502.WYKOF.01/CTP