FNUS73 KDTX 021222
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALGONAC...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
822 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 02.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS A COLD
FRONT STALLS OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM
BUT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE UNFAVORABLE DUE TO
ELEVATED RELATIVE HUMIDITY. IT WILL OTHERWISE BE DRY IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION UNTIL POSSIBLY MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE INCHES CLOSER TO
THE GREAT LAKES FROM THE PLAINS STATES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........16  19  21  24  27  29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  69  70  70  69  66
RH..............49  43  42  42  46  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  12  12  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  12  12  12  11  10
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.7 3.6 4.1 3.4 2.3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 400 600 600 500 300

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........32     35     37     40     43     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     58     56     55     54     53
RH..............54     62     66     68     72     74
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10     9      8      7      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
VRATE (KT-FT)...200    100    100    0      100    100

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CONSIDINE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130502.ALGON.01/DTX