FNUS73 KDTX 021220
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HALFMOON...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
820 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MAY 02.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS A COLD
FRONT STALLS OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM
BUT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE UNFAVORABLE DUE TO
ELEVATED RELATIVE HUMIDITY. IT WILL OTHERWISE BE DRY IN TERMS OF
PRECIPITATION UNTIL POSSIBLY MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE INCHES CLOSER TO
THE GREAT LAKES FROM THE PLAINS STATES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21
                    MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO 8600 FT
                    AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 10100 FT
                    AGL LATE...DECREASING TO 8000 FT
                    AGL...DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1600).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........28  30  33  35  37  40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............74  75  75  75  74  71
RH..............48  43  41  41  45  51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  12  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  10  12  13  13  12
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.7 8.6 9.9 10  8.0 4.8
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...900 1200150016001300900

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........42     45     48     51     54     57
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     62     59     58     58     56
RH..............56     65     69     68     69     77
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..11     10     9      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1800).

$$
FORECASTER...CONSIDINE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130502.HALFM.01/DTX