FNUS73 KAPX 031546 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNRISE SOUTHBRANCH...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1146 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION....LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WITH A STALLED FRONT STRETCHING UP THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. QUITE A TEMPERATURE RANGE WILL BE FOUND ONCE AGAIN ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT AND NEAR THE COLD GREAT LAKES WITH READINGS RANGING FROM THE 50S NEAR THE COASTS TO WELL INTO THE 70S ACROSS MUCH OF INTERIOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...INCLUDING THE BURN SITE. DAYTIME HEATING AND DEEP MIXING WILL LEAD TO LOWER RH VALUES ONCE AGAIN WITH RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE FALLING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD DROP INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...DEEP MIXING WILL LEAD TO GUSTINESS THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 22 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3400-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (1000). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 36 37 37 36 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............75 76 77 76 76 RH..............33 30 30 30 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 SMOKE DISP......100010001000900 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........36 35 35 35 34 33 28 23 21 22 25 28 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 75 72 66 63 61 58 57 56 53 51 48 RH..............34 34 34 43 48 56 62 64 64 71 80 89 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130503.SUNRI.01/APX