FNUS71 KCTP 030850 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKS MTN TRAILHEAD...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY/DCNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 450 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL STAY ANCHORED FROM THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST...TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WEATHER FEATURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS GUSTS DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID TEENS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL OCCUR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............31 32 31 30 29 25 15 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................53 56 59 62 65 66 67 67 RH..................62 54 47 42 37 35 33 32 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 15 14 14 14 13 13 12 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............6 1 0 0 1 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................66 61 52 47 43 42 RH..................33 40 55 66 73 75 20 FT WIND..........SE 9 SE 7 SE 5 SE 2 E 2 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........4900 2500 800 200 400 200 TRANSPORT WIND......SE 13 SE 13 SE 10 S 7 S 5 NW 2 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-7000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING EAST 2 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 8 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............9 12 11 9 8 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 44 54 62 67 68 RH..................78 77 54 41 33 31 20 FT WIND..........E 1 E 2 E 5 E 7 E 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........500 1600 4100 6000 6800 7000 TRANSPORT WIND......N 1 E 3 E 10 E 14 E 13 E 9 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...MIKE BECKER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130503.JACKS.01/CTP