FNUS71 KCTP 031254 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR S W RESERVOIR RX...ALLEGHENY NF USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 854 AM EDT FRI MAY 3 2013 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL STAY ANCHORED FROM THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST...TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS RIGHT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WEATHER FEATURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO 12 MPH TODAY. WINDS GUSTS DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS SHOULD BE A FEW MPH LOWER ON SATURDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL OCCUR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-5200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 16 TO 18 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............36 39 43 45 42 34 30 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 64 66 68 69 70 70 RH..................40 37 34 32 31 30 30 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.7 5.1 5.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....21 20 20 20 18 17 16 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1800-2700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 24 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............26 20 17 17 14 12 9 6 4 4 4 4 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 66 63 58 53 49 47 45 43 42 41 40 RH..................31 35 39 46 55 63 67 71 76 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......4.9 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 16 16 17 20 21 23 24 24 23 22 21 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............4 4 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 39 43 47 53 58 61 63 66 67 68 68 RH..................84 87 76 65 52 43 38 34 30 30 29 29 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....21 21 21 21 21 20 18 17 16 15 14 14 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...CRAIG KOSTZREZWSKI TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20130503.SWRES.01/CTP