FNUS75 KCYS 022224
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORGAN CREEK PRESCRIBED BURN...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
424 PM MDT THU MAY 2 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 03.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY INCREASING TO NEAR NORMAL BY
SUNDAY. DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 20 TO 35 PERCENT ARE
EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH VERY GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE AND END OF
NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (2300-29400 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (27500-54000 KNOT-FT).


.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
            SHOWERS. HIGH TEMPERATURE AROUND 45 DEGREES. NORTHEAST
            WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. LOW TEMPERATURE AROUND 30 DEGREES.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH TEMPERATURE BETWEEN 55 TO 60 DEGREES.
          LOW TEMPERATURE BETWEEN 25 TO 30 DEGREES. LIGHT AND
          VARIABLE WINDS.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
          HIGH TEMPERATURE AROUND 60 DEGREES. UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
          WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH.


$$

REQUESTED BY...CHRIS OTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130503.MORGA.01/CYS